Bundesliga · 2026

SV 07 Elversberg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.62.6
Expected goals
1.122.37
Shots
9.619.4
Possession
45.4%50.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: SV 07 Elversberg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second reading clears the same sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

SV 07 Elversberg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SV 07 Elversberg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.6 shots/match ▲ShotsSV 07 Elversberg · 1. FSV Mainz 0519.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSV 07 Elversberg1. FSV Mainz 05Baseline
Shots9.6 shots/match19.4 shots/match15.8 shots/match
Shots against21.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match16.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV 07 Elversberg favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · 1. FSV Mainz 05 in 11 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV 07 Elversberg5 matches1. FSV Mainz 055 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 2.37 xG/match
9.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 19.4 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 5.8 shots/match
45.4%Possession5/5● 50.4%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5.6 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness20 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 30 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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