PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

RB Leipzig vs SV 07 Elversberg · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
31.6
Expected goals
2.191.12
Shots
18.89.6
Possession
57.8%45.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: SV 07 Elversberg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: RB Leipzig have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

SV 07 Elversberg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SV 07 Elversberg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

18.8 shots/match ▲ShotsRB Leipzig · SV 07 Elversberg9.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigSV 07 ElversbergBaseline
Shots18.8 shots/match9.6 shots/match15.8 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match21.2 shots/match16.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

RB Leipzig have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.8% ●PossessionRB Leipzig · SV 07 Elversberg45.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigSV 07 ElversbergBaseline
Possession57.8%45.4%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RB Leipzig favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · SV 07 Elversberg in 0 · 9 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RB Leipzig5 matchesSV 07 Elversberg5 matches
3 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
2.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/51.12 xG/match
18.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/59.6 shots/match
6.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/54 shots/match
57.8% ●Possession4/545.4%
6.75 corners/match ●Corners4/53.6 corners/match
9.25 fouls/matchFouls4/511 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRB LeipzigSV 07 Elversberg
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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