PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Rionegro Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza CEIF · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.11.17
Expected goals
1.020.82
Shots
11.611.6
Possession
50.6%52.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: fortaleza CEIF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Fortaleza CEIF's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fortaleza CEIF's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rionegro Águilas Doradas favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Fortaleza CEIF in 5 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rionegro Águilas Doradas29 matchesFortaleza CEIF30 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored29/30▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/301.5 goals/match
1.02 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/260.82 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots29/3011.6 shots/match
3.59 shots/matchShots on target29/303.77 shots/match
50.6%Possession29/30● 52.7%
4.41 corners/match ●Corners29/304.23 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards9/113.82 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls29/3012 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Rionegro Águilas Doradas
0Draws
1Fortaleza CEIF
Fortaleza CEIF — Rionegro Águilas Doradas · Primera A2–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness32 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRionegro Águilas DoradasFortaleza CEIF
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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