Primera A · 2026

Internacional de Bogotá vs Once Caldas · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.241.42
Expected goals
1.081.09
Shots
13.215.2
Possession
45.5%53.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: once Caldas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: once Caldas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Once Caldas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Once Caldas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.42 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Once Caldas show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Once Caldas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsInternacional de Bogotá · Once Caldas15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInternacional de BogotáOnce CaldasBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5 corners/matchCornersInternacional de Bogotá · Once Caldas● 5.13 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricInternacional de BogotáOnce CaldasBaseline
Corners5 corners/match5.13 corners/match4.42 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional de Bogotá favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Once Caldas in 10 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional de Bogotá33 matchesOnce Caldas33 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.42 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals26/281.09 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots32/31▲ 15.2 shots/match
4.78 shots/matchShots on target32/31▲ 5.68 shots/match
45.5%Possession32/31● 53.3%
5 corners/matchCorners32/31● 5.13 corners/match
3.33 cards/matchCards6/83.13 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls32/3110.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Internacional de Bogotá
0Draws
1Once Caldas
Once Caldas — Internacional de Bogotá · Primera A2–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness6 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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