PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Once Caldas 1–3 Atlético Bucaramanga · Primera A

1–3Pre-match analysis

Match at a glance

Atlético Bucaramanga won 1–3.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: once Caldas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Once Caldas, Atlético Bucaramanga. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Once Caldas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Once Caldas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Once Caldas, Atlético Bucaramanga.

6 days ▲Rest daysOnce Caldas · Atlético Bucaramanga5.17 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricOnce CaldasAtlético BucaramangaBaseline
Rest days6 days5.17 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Once Caldas
1Draws
0Atlético Bucaramanga
Atlético Bucaramanga — Once Caldas · Primera A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Once Caldas favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Bucaramanga in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Once Caldas32 matchesAtlético Bucaramanga28 matches
1.44 goals/matchGoals scored32/281.43 goals/match
1.16 goals/matchGoals allowed32/28▲ 1 goal/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals28/211.04 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots31/2812.6 shots/match
5.68 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/284.14 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession31/2849.9%
5.13 corners/match ●Corners31/283.89 corners/match
3.13 cards/matchCards8/45 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls31/2812.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples32 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness6 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 26 Sept 2026, 01:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOnce CaldasAtlético Bucaramanga
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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