PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Rionegro Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares de Córdoba · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.191.07
Expected goals
1.060.91
Shots
11.511.1
Possession
50.3%45.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: jaguares de Córdoba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Jaguares de Córdoba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Jaguares de Córdoba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rionegro Águilas Doradas favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Jaguares de Córdoba in 1 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rionegro Águilas Doradas27 matchesJaguares de Córdoba27 matches
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.07 goals/match
1.37 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.74 goals/match
1.06 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/230.91 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots27/2711.1 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target27/273.74 shots/match
50.3% ●Possession27/2745.3%
4.56 corners/match ●Corners27/273.96 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards9/44.5 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls27/2711.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Rionegro Águilas Doradas
1Draws
0Jaguares de Córdoba
Jaguares de Córdoba — Rionegro Águilas Doradas · Primera A1–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness22 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRionegro Águilas DoradasJaguares de Córdoba
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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