Primera A · 2026

Deportes Tolima vs Boyacá Chicó FC · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.260.81
Expected goals
1.30.85
Shots
13.69.52
Possession
55.8%44.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: boyacá Chicó FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: boyacá Chicó FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Boyacá Chicó FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Boyacá Chicó FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.81 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Boyacá Chicó FC have a visible away split

moderate

Boyacá Chicó FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.79 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.52 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.79 shots/match9.52 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Boyacá Chicó FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Boyacá Chicó FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsDeportes Tolima · Boyacá Chicó FC9.52 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportes TolimaBoyacá Chicó FCBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match9.52 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes Tolima favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Boyacá Chicó FC in 0 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes Tolima34 matchesBoyacá Chicó FC27 matches
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/270.81 goals/match
0.91 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/271.74 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/250.85 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots32/279.52 shots/match
4.72 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/272.96 shots/match
55.8% ●Possession32/2744.9%
5.06 corners/match ●Corners32/273.96 corners/match
3.88 cards/matchCards8/103.8 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls32/2713.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportes Tolima
1Draws
0Boyacá Chicó FC
Boyacá Chicó FC — Deportes Tolima · Primera A1–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples34 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness18 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Oct 2026, 21:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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