PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Deportivo Cali 3–1 Alianza Valledupar FC · Primera A

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportivo Cali won 3–1.

Shots
813
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.610.37
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportivo Cali beat Alianza Valledupar FC 3–1. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Cali – Alianza Valledupar FC): shots 8–13, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.61–0.37, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alianza Valledupar FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alianza Valledupar FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.81 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Deportivo Cali.

5.01 days ▲Rest daysDeportivo Cali · Alianza Valledupar FC5.19 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricDeportivo CaliAlianza Valledupar FCBaseline
Rest days5.01 days5.19 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots13 shotsDeportivo Cali 8 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsDeportivo Cali 4 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.61 xG0.37 xGDeportivo Cali 0.61 xG, Alianza Valledupar FC 0.37 xG
  • Possession62%38%Deportivo Cali 62%, Alianza Valledupar FC 38%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersDeportivo Cali 3 corners, Alianza Valledupar FC 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls14 foulsDeportivo Cali 10 fouls, Alianza Valledupar FC 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards5 cardsDeportivo Cali 4 cards, Alianza Valledupar FC 5 cards
  • Passes507 passes307 passesDeportivo Cali 507 passes, Alianza Valledupar FC 307 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.4%76.9%Deportivo Cali 87.4%, Alianza Valledupar FC 76.9%
  • Shots inside box5 shots4 shotsDeportivo Cali 5 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 4 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks1 blockDeportivo Cali 0 blocks, Alianza Valledupar FC 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves1 saveDeportivo Cali 3 saves, Alianza Valledupar FC 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideDeportivo Cali 2 offsides, Alianza Valledupar FC 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportivo Cali
0Draws
1Alianza Valledupar FC
Alianza Valledupar FC — Deportivo Cali · Primera A1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Cali favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Alianza Valledupar FC in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Cali31 matchesAlianza Valledupar FC31 matches
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/310.81 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.65 goals/match
1.02 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/270.89 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots31/3111.3 shots/match
4.32 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/313.03 shots/match
50.5% ●Possession31/3144.3%
4.35 corners/match ●Corners31/314.19 corners/match
4.2 cards/matchCards10/74.71 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls31/3111.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Oct 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo CaliAlianza Valledupar FC
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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