PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Jaguares de Córdoba 1–2 Alianza Valledupar FC · Primera A

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Alianza Valledupar FC won 1–2.

Shots
1416
Shots on target
68
Expected goals
0.90.72
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Alianza Valledupar FC beat Jaguares de Córdoba 2–1. Recorded in this match (Jaguares de Córdoba – Alianza Valledupar FC): shots 14–16, shots on target 6–8, expected goals 0.9–0.72, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Jaguares de Córdoba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Jaguares de Córdoba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots16 shotsJaguares de Córdoba 14 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 16 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots8 shotsJaguares de Córdoba 6 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.9 xG0.72 xGJaguares de Córdoba 0.9 xG, Alianza Valledupar FC 0.72 xG
  • Possession57%43%Jaguares de Córdoba 57%, Alianza Valledupar FC 43%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersJaguares de Córdoba 7 corners, Alianza Valledupar FC 5 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls8 foulsJaguares de Córdoba 6 fouls, Alianza Valledupar FC 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsJaguares de Córdoba 4 cards, Alianza Valledupar FC 2 cards
  • Passes457 passes358 passesJaguares de Córdoba 457 passes, Alianza Valledupar FC 358 passes
  • Pass accuracy86%82.4%Jaguares de Córdoba 86%, Alianza Valledupar FC 82.4%
  • Shots inside box7 shots10 shotsJaguares de Córdoba 7 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 10 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks2 blocksJaguares de Córdoba 4 blocks, Alianza Valledupar FC 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves5 savesJaguares de Córdoba 6 saves, Alianza Valledupar FC 5 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides0 offsidesJaguares de Córdoba 3 offsides, Alianza Valledupar FC 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Jaguares de Córdoba
0Draws
1Alianza Valledupar FC
Alianza Valledupar FC — Jaguares de Córdoba · Primera A1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Jaguares de Córdoba favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Alianza Valledupar FC in 4 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Jaguares de Córdoba29 matchesAlianza Valledupar FC30 matches
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/300.8 goals/match
1.76 goals/matchGoals allowed29/30▲ 1.6 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals25/260.91 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots29/3011.2 shots/match
3.72 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/303 shots/match
45.7% ●Possession29/3044.5%
4.03 corners/matchCorners29/30● 4.17 corners/match
4.6 cards/matchCards5/64.67 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls29/3011.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples29 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 28 Sept 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJaguares de CórdobaAlianza Valledupar FC
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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