Eredivisie · 2026

FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.570.86
Expected goals
1.40.91
Shots
10.910.6
Possession
43.7%40%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: PEC Zwolle's away-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

PEC Zwolle have a visible away split

weak

PEC Zwolle's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.6 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

PEC Zwolle's recent record differs from the season

weak

PEC Zwolle's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.86 goals/match1.79 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

17.3 fouls/matchFoulsFC Utrecht · PEC Zwolle11.3 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFC UtrechtPEC ZwolleBaseline
Fouls17.3 fouls/match11.3 fouls/match10.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Utrecht favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · PEC Zwolle in 3 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Utrecht7 matchesPEC Zwolle7 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match
3.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 2.86 goals/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.91 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots7/710.6 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.43 shots/match
43.7% ●Possession7/740%
3.29 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.14 corners/match
17.3 fouls/matchFouls7/711.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3FC Utrecht
2Draws
0PEC Zwolle
FC Utrecht — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie1–1
PEC Zwolle — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie0–2
PEC Zwolle — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie3–3
FC Utrecht — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie1–0
FC Utrecht — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie5–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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