PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

Willem II Tilburg vs SC Cambuur · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.861.43
Expected goals
1.281.35
Shots
11.911.9
Possession
38.7%46.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: SC Cambuur's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

SC Cambuur's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Cambuur's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.79 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Willem II Tilburg favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · SC Cambuur in 10 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Willem II Tilburg7 matchesSC Cambuur7 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.43 goals/match
2.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/72.71 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.35 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots7/711.9 shots/match
2.71 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.29 shots/match
38.7%Possession7/7● 46.3%
4 corners/match ●Corners7/73.71 corners/match
9 fouls/matchFouls7/712.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Willem II Tilburg
2Draws
2SC Cambuur
Willem II Tilburg — SC Cambuur · Eerste Divisie0–1
SC Cambuur — Willem II Tilburg · Eerste Divisie2–2
SC Cambuur — Willem II Tilburg · Eredivisie1–1
Willem II Tilburg — SC Cambuur · Eredivisie1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWillem II TilburgSC Cambuur
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headWillem II Tilburg — SC Cambuur
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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