Eredivisie · 2026

ADO Den Haag vs SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.131.38
Expected goals
0.951.3
Shots
10.815.5
Possession
47.1%52.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: ADO Den Haag's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

ADO Den Haag's recent record differs from the season

weak

ADO Den Haag's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.75 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

ADO Den Haag have a visible home split

weak

ADO Den Haag's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.8 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

ADO Den Haag show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

ADO Den Haag's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsADO Den Haag · SC Heerenveen15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricADO Den HaagSC HeerenveenBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match15.5 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against17.9 shots/match15.8 shots/match15.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: ADO Den Haag favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · SC Heerenveen in 12

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

ADO Den Haag8 matchesSC Heerenveen8 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.38 goals/match
2.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.38 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.3 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 15.5 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5.88 shots/match
47.1%Possession8/8● 52.9%
3.5 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.25 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls8/88.63 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required