PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.571.71
Expected goals
1.261.6
Shots
1615.1
Possession
54%61.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: NEC Nijmegen's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

NEC Nijmegen's recent record differs from the season

weak

NEC Nijmegen's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match15.1 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Heerenveen favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · NEC Nijmegen in 5

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Heerenveen7 matchesNEC Nijmegen7 matches
1.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.71 goals/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.86 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.6 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots7/715.1 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74.14 shots/match
54%Possession7/7● 61.1%
5.14 corners/match ●Corners7/75 corners/match
8.43 fouls/matchFouls7/711.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2SC Heerenveen
1Draws
2NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie2–2
SC Heerenveen — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie3–2
SC Heerenveen — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie1–0
NEC Nijmegen — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie3–0
NEC Nijmegen — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headSC Heerenveen — NEC Nijmegen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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