Eredivisie · 2026

PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II Tilburg · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
3.430.86
Expected goals
2.871.28
Shots
2111.9
Possession
63.7%38.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

21 shots/match ▲ShotsPSV Eindhoven · Willem II Tilburg11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenWillem II TilburgBaseline
Shots21 shots/match11.9 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match19.9 shots/match16.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share.

63.7% ●PossessionPSV Eindhoven · Willem II Tilburg38.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 25.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenWillem II TilburgBaseline
Possession63.7%38.7%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

PSV Eindhoven's recent record differs from the season

weak

PSV Eindhoven's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season3.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for4 goals/match3.43 goals/match1.79 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PSV Eindhoven favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Willem II Tilburg in 0 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PSV Eindhoven7 matchesWillem II Tilburg7 matches
3.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.86 goals/match
2.87 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.28 xG/match
21 shots/match ▲Shots7/711.9 shots/match
8.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/72.71 shots/match
63.7% ●Possession7/738.7%
7.57 corners/match ●Corners7/74 corners/match
8.71 fouls/matchFouls7/79 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2PSV Eindhoven
1Draws
0Willem II Tilburg
PSV Eindhoven — Willem II Tilburg · Eredivisie1–1
Willem II Tilburg — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie0–2
PSV Eindhoven — Willem II Tilburg · Eredivisie4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required