PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
13.67
Expected goals
0.73.18
Shots
10.822.7
Possession
47.2%64.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: ADO Den Haag's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

ADO Den Haag show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

ADO Den Haag's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsADO Den Haag · PSV Eindhoven22.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricADO Den HaagPSV EindhovenBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match22.7 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against17.5 shots/match8.33 shots/match16.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

ADO Den Haag's recent record differs from the season

weak

ADO Den Haag's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.92 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.2%PossessionADO Den Haag · PSV Eindhoven● 64.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricADO Den HaagPSV EindhovenBaseline
Possession47.2%64.3%48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: ADO Den Haag favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · PSV Eindhoven in 12 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

ADO Den Haag6 matchesPSV Eindhoven6 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 3.67 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match
0.7 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 3.18 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 22.7 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 9.17 shots/match
47.2%Possession6/6● 64.3%
3.67 corners/matchCorners6/6● 8 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls6/68.17 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsADO Den HaagPSV Eindhoven
CompetitionEredivisie
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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