PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II Tilburg · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.430.86
Expected goals
1.631.28
Shots
13.111.9
Possession
45.4%38.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 5 to Sparta Rotterdam, 0 drawn, 0 to Willem II Tilburg. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sparta Rotterdam favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Willem II Tilburg in 0 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sparta Rotterdam7 matchesWillem II Tilburg7 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match
2.43 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/72.86 goals/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.28 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots7/711.9 shots/match
4.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/72.71 shots/match
45.4% ●Possession7/738.7%
6 corners/match ●Corners7/74 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls7/79 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Sparta Rotterdam
0Draws
0Willem II Tilburg
Willem II Tilburg — Sparta Rotterdam · KNVB Beker1–5
Sparta Rotterdam — Willem II Tilburg · Eredivisie4–0
Willem II Tilburg — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie1–2
Sparta Rotterdam — Willem II Tilburg · Eredivisie1–0
Willem II Tilburg — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSparta RotterdamWillem II Tilburg
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headSparta Rotterdam — Willem II Tilburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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