PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

SC Telstar vs ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.831
Expected goals
1.210.89
Shots
8.8311.9
Possession
41.3%49.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: SC Telstar's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: SC Telstar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

SC Telstar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Telstar's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.85 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SC Telstar show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SC Telstar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.83 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Telstar · ADO Den Haag11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC TelstarADO Den HaagBaseline
Shots8.83 shots/match11.9 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against18 shots/match16.1 shots/match16.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Telstar favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · ADO Den Haag in 8 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Telstar6 matchesADO Den Haag7 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/7▲ 1 goal/match
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/72.43 goals/match
1.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/70.89 xG/match
8.83 shots/matchShots6/7▲ 11.9 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target6/7▲ 3.57 shots/match
41.3%Possession6/7● 49.3%
4.5 corners/match ●Corners6/74 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls6/713.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2SC Telstar
0Draws
0ADO Den Haag
ADO Den Haag — SC Telstar · Eredivisie0–1
SC Telstar — ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC TelstarADO Den Haag
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headSC Telstar — ADO Den Haag
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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