PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

SC Telstar 2–2 ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

SC Telstar and ADO Den Haag drew 2–2.

Shots
303
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
2.861.38
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Telstar and ADO Den Haag drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (SC Telstar – ADO Den Haag): shots 30–3, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 2.86–1.38, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Telstar have a visible home split

weak

SC Telstar's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match10.9 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

ADO Den Haag's recent record differs from the season

weak

ADO Den Haag's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.75 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots30 shots3 shotsSC Telstar 30 shots, ADO Den Haag 3 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsSC Telstar 4 shots, ADO Den Haag 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.86 xG1.38 xGSC Telstar 2.86 xG, ADO Den Haag 1.38 xG
  • Possession68%32%SC Telstar 68%, ADO Den Haag 32%
  • Corners8 corners0 cornersSC Telstar 8 corners, ADO Den Haag 0 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsSC Telstar 8 fouls, ADO Den Haag 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardSC Telstar 2 cards, ADO Den Haag 1 card
  • Passes636 passes301 passesSC Telstar 636 passes, ADO Den Haag 301 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.6%72.4%SC Telstar 86.6%, ADO Den Haag 72.4%
  • Shots inside box16 shots3 shotsSC Telstar 16 shots, ADO Den Haag 3 shots
  • Blocked shots9 blocks0 blocksSC Telstar 9 blocks, ADO Den Haag 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves2 savesSC Telstar 0 saves, ADO Den Haag 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesSC Telstar 2 offsides, ADO Den Haag 2 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Patrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdelnour Soualhia · SC Telstar · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNoach Shenkman · SC Telstar · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAr'Jany Martha · SC Telstar · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdelnour Soualhia · SC Telstar · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Peersman · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNils Rossen · SC Telstar · 66′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNökkvi Þórisson · SC Telstar · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTyrone Owusu · SC Telstar · 37′ · 0.04 xG · goalPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 50′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRui Mendes · SC Telstar · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTyrone Owusu · SC Telstar · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNökkvi Þórisson · SC Telstar · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmirhan Demircan · SC Telstar · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Peersman · SC Telstar · 64′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJelani Seedorf · SC Telstar · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGerald Alders · SC Telstar · 43′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNils Rossen · SC Telstar · 64′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNökkvi Þórisson · SC Telstar · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJelani Seedorf · SC Telstar · 84′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNils Rossen · SC Telstar · 77′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNoach Shenkman · SC Telstar · 48′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedTyrone Owusu · SC Telstar · 14′ · 0.11 xG · goalPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 9′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSem Valk · SC Telstar · 80′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Peersman · SC Telstar · 52′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedYannick Eduardo · ADO Den Haag · 16′ · 0.17 xG · goalRui Mendes · SC Telstar · 53′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedJelani Seedorf · SC Telstar · 27′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedJan Žambůrek · ADO Den Haag · 68′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedNökkvi Þórisson · SC Telstar · 60′ · 0.71 xG · off target or blockedEvan Rottier · ADO Den Haag · 25′ · 0.74 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Telstar: 30 shots, 4 on target, 2.91 xG. ADO Den Haag: 3 shots, 2 on target, 1.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Tyrone Owusu · SC Telstar · 14′Tyrone Owusu · SC Telstar · 37′Yannick Eduardo · ADO Den Haag · 16′Evan Rottier · ADO Den Haag · 25′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Telstar 2.91 xG · ADO Den Haag 1.39 xG.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

SC Telstar
  1. Ronald Koeman JrG
  2. Gerald AldersD
  3. Abdelnour SoualhiaD
  4. Sem ValkD
  5. Marvin PeersmanD
  6. Tyrone OwusuM
  7. Nils RossenM
  8. Noach ShenkmanM
  9. Rui MendesF
  10. Jelani SeedorfF
  11. Patrick BrouwerF
ADO Den Haag
  1. Kilian NikièmaG
  2. Pascal MulderD
  3. Matteo WaemD
  4. Jonas Jensen-AbbewD
  5. Milan HokkeD
  6. Jalen HawkinsM
  7. PozoM
  8. Juho KiloM
  9. Matěj ŠínM
  10. Evan RottierF
  11. Yannick EduardoF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2SC Telstar
0Draws
0ADO Den Haag
ADO Den Haag — SC Telstar · Eredivisie0–1
SC Telstar — ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Telstar favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · ADO Den Haag in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Telstar8 matchesADO Den Haag8 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/82.38 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/80.95 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots8/810.8 shots/match
2.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 3.38 shots/match
44.3%Possession8/8● 47.1%
4.63 corners/match ●Corners8/83.5 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls8/813.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC TelstarADO Den Haag
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headSC Telstar — ADO Den Haag
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required