PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

Excelsior 1–5 FC Groningen · Eredivisie

1–5Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Groningen won 1–5.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
29
Expected goals
1.772.75
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Groningen beat Excelsior 5–1. Recorded in this match (Excelsior – FC Groningen): shots 16–14, shots on target 2–9, expected goals 1.77–2.75, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Groningen have a visible away split

weak

FC Groningen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match14.8 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Groningen have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.8%PossessionExcelsior · FC Groningen● 49.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricExcelsiorFC GroningenBaseline
Possession41.8%49.8%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsExcelsior 16 shots, FC Groningen 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots9 shotsExcelsior 2 shots, FC Groningen 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.77 xG2.75 xGExcelsior 1.77 xG, FC Groningen 2.75 xG
  • Possession49%51%Excelsior 49%, FC Groningen 51%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersExcelsior 3 corners, FC Groningen 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsExcelsior 10 fouls, FC Groningen 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsExcelsior 0 cards, FC Groningen 2 cards
  • Passes417 passes446 passesExcelsior 417 passes, FC Groningen 446 passes
  • Pass accuracy82.3%81.6%Excelsior 82.3%, FC Groningen 81.6%
  • Shots inside box11 shots13 shotsExcelsior 11 shots, FC Groningen 13 shots
  • Blocked shots8 blocks4 blocksExcelsior 8 blocks, FC Groningen 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves1 saveExcelsior 5 saves, FC Groningen 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideExcelsior 1 offside, FC Groningen 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 7′Marco RenteGoal · FC Groningen
  2. 20′David van der WerffYellow card · FC Groningen
  3. 36′Irakli YegoianPenalty goal · Excelsior
  4. 38′Stijn van GasselGoal · Excelsior
  5. Half-time
  6. 64′Thom van BergenPenalty goal · FC Groningen
  7. 67′Brynjólfur Darri WillumssonGoal · FC Groningen
  8. 81′Tygo LandYellow card · FC Groningen
  9. 90′Marco RenteGoal · FC Groningen
  10. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 65′Excelsior · 4 player changesValentin Sulzbacher · Daniel van Vianen · Mario Domínguez · Kasey Bos
  • 66′FC Groningen · 1 player changeTygo Land
  • 72′FC Groningen · 1 player changeMárk Csinger
  • 81′Excelsior · 1 player changeAlireza Jahanbakhsh
  • 84′FC Groningen · 1 player changeNils Eggens
  • 85′FC Groningen · 2 player changesOskar Zawada · Ryan Metu

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Excelsior
  1. Stijn van GasselG
  2. Eric da Silva MoreiraD
  3. Casper WidellD
  4. Jan PlugD
  5. Simon JanssenD
  6. Rick MeissenM
  7. Irakli YegoianM
  8. Lennard HartjesM
  9. Aymen SlitiF
  10. David GardenF
  11. Ágúst Orri ThorsteinssonF
FC Groningen
  1. Etienne VaessenG
  2. Thijmen BlokzijlD
  3. Marco RenteD
  4. Jorg SchreudersD
  5. Hans HateboerD
  6. Tika de JongeM
  7. Pelle ClementM
  8. Thom van BergenM
  9. Brynjólfur Darri WillumssonF
  10. Jacob OndrejkaF
  11. David van der WerffF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Excelsior
0Draws
2FC Groningen
FC Groningen — Excelsior · Eredivisie2–3
Excelsior — FC Groningen · Eredivisie0–2
FC Groningen — Excelsior · Eredivisie3–0
Excelsior — FC Groningen · Eredivisie1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Excelsior favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · FC Groningen in 6 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Excelsior8 matchesFC Groningen8 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2.5 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.75 goals/match
1.38 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.63 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 14.8 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5.88 shots/match
41.8%Possession8/8● 49.8%
4.13 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4.63 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls8/88.63 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsExcelsiorFC Groningen
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headExcelsior — FC Groningen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required