Eredivisie · 2026

PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.861.43
Expected goals
0.911.35
Shots
10.611.9
Possession
40%46.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: SC Cambuur's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: PEC Zwolle's home-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

PEC Zwolle have a visible home split

weak

PEC Zwolle's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.33 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.33 shots/match10.6 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

SC Cambuur's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Cambuur's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.85 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

PEC Zwolle show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

PEC Zwolle's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsPEC Zwolle · SC Cambuur11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPEC ZwolleSC CambuurBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against20.4 shots/match16 shots/match16.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PEC Zwolle favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · SC Cambuur in 9 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PEC Zwolle7 matchesSC Cambuur7 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.43 goals/match
2.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/72.71 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.35 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 11.9 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.29 shots/match
40%Possession7/7● 46.3%
4.14 corners/match ●Corners7/73.71 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/712.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1PEC Zwolle
0Draws
1SC Cambuur
SC Cambuur — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie3–4
PEC Zwolle — SC Cambuur · Eredivisie1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness23 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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