Eredivisie · 2026

PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.862.5
Expected goals
0.911.82
Shots
10.615.5
Possession
40%53.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: go Ahead Eagles's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: go Ahead Eagles have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

PEC Zwolle have a visible home split

weak

PEC Zwolle's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.33 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.33 shots/match10.6 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Go Ahead Eagles show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Go Ahead Eagles's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsPEC Zwolle · Go Ahead Eagles15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPEC ZwolleGo Ahead EaglesBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match15.5 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against20.4 shots/match16.5 shots/match16.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

PEC Zwolle's recent record differs from the season

weak

PEC Zwolle's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.86 goals/match1.92 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PEC Zwolle favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Go Ahead Eagles in 12

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PEC Zwolle7 matchesGo Ahead Eagles6 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/6▲ 2.5 goals/match
2.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/6▲ 2.17 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals7/6▲ 1.82 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots7/6▲ 15.5 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on target7/6▲ 6.33 shots/match
40%Possession7/6● 53.3%
4.14 corners/matchCorners7/6● 5.83 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/67.67 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0PEC Zwolle
3Draws
2Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie5–0
PEC Zwolle — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie0–2
PEC Zwolle — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie1–1
Go Ahead Eagles — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie2–2
Go Ahead Eagles — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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