Eredivisie · 2026

SC Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.52.83
Expected goals
1.52.56
Shots
12.519.8
Possession
47.7%58.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: SC Cambuur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: AZ Alkmaar have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

SC Cambuur show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SC Cambuur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Cambuur · AZ Alkmaar19.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC CambuurAZ AlkmaarBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match19.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match9 shots/match16.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

SC Cambuur's recent record differs from the season

weak

SC Cambuur's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.92 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

AZ Alkmaar have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.7%PossessionSC Cambuur · AZ Alkmaar● 58.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSC CambuurAZ AlkmaarBaseline
Possession47.7%58.5%48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Cambuur favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · AZ Alkmaar in 13

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Cambuur6 matchesAZ Alkmaar6 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2.83 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1 goal/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.56 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 19.8 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 7.5 shots/match
47.7%Possession6/6● 58.5%
3.83 corners/matchCorners6/6● 9.17 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls6/610.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0SC Cambuur
1Draws
3AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar — SC Cambuur · Eredivisie2–1
SC Cambuur — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie0–1
AZ Alkmaar — SC Cambuur · Eredivisie0–0
SC Cambuur — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness37 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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