PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

FC Twente vs FC Utrecht · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.141.57
Expected goals
2.191.4
Shots
21.410.9
Possession
58%43.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: FC Twente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: FC Twente have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

FC Twente show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Twente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

21.4 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Twente · FC Utrecht10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC TwenteFC UtrechtBaseline
Shots21.4 shots/match10.9 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match18.6 shots/match16.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Twente have recorded the higher season possession share.

58% ●PossessionFC Twente · FC Utrecht43.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC TwenteFC UtrechtBaseline
Possession58%43.7%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Twente favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · FC Utrecht in 0 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Twente7 matchesFC Utrecht7 matches
2.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.57 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed7/73.43 goals/match
2.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.4 xG/match
21.4 shots/match ▲Shots7/710.9 shots/match
7.57 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74 shots/match
58% ●Possession7/743.7%
7.43 corners/match ●Corners7/73.29 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls7/717.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Twente
1Draws
2FC Utrecht
FC Twente — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie0–2
FC Utrecht — FC Twente · KNVB Beker1–2
FC Utrecht — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–1
FC Twente — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie2–0
FC Utrecht — FC Twente · Eredivisie2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC TwenteFC Utrecht
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headFC Twente — FC Utrecht
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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