NEC Nijmegen
Eredivisie · 2026NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie
Season
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
- Goals scored
- 1.71–1.86
- Expected goals
- 1.6–0.92
- Shots
- 15.1–10.1
- Possession
- 61.1%–35.6%
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What the record shows
The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 2 to NEC Nijmegen, 1 drawn, 2 to Fortuna Sittard. From this fixture's own record: fortuna Sittard's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.
Fortuna Sittard show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateFortuna Sittard's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | NEC Nijmegen | Fortuna Sittard | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 15.1 shots/match | 10.1 shots/match | 14 shots/match |
| Shots against | 11.6 shots/match | 20.1 shots/match | 16.1 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateNEC Nijmegen have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 25.6 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | NEC Nijmegen | Fortuna Sittard | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 61.1% | 35.6% | 49.4% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
NEC Nijmegen's recent record differs from the season
weakNEC Nijmegen's last-five shots average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 11.6 shots/match | 15.1 shots/match | 14 shots/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: NEC Nijmegen favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Fortuna Sittard in 3 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
NEC Nijmegen / Fortuna Sittard
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
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