PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.862.14
Expected goals
0.921.32
Shots
10.111.3
Possession
35.6%40.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: fortuna Sittard's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Fortuna Sittard show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fortuna Sittard's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsFortuna Sittard · Excelsior11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFortuna SittardExcelsiorBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against20.1 shots/match16.1 shots/match16.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortuna Sittard favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Excelsior in 11 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortuna Sittard7 matchesExcelsior7 matches
1.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.14 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.29 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.32 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 11.3 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on target7/74.71 shots/match
35.6%Possession7/7● 40.7%
2.14 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.29 corners/match
9.14 fouls/matchFouls7/712 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fortuna Sittard
1Draws
2Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard — Excelsior · Eredivisie2–1
Excelsior — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie1–0
Fortuna Sittard — Excelsior · Eredivisie5–2
Excelsior — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie2–2
Excelsior — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 11:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortuna SittardExcelsior
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headFortuna Sittard — Excelsior
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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