PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.752
Expected goals
0.911.38
Shots
10.611.9
Possession
36.5%41.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: fortuna Sittard's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Fortuna Sittard show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fortuna Sittard's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsFortuna Sittard · Excelsior11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFortuna SittardExcelsiorBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against19.1 shots/match15.9 shots/match15.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortuna Sittard favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Excelsior in 11 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortuna Sittard8 matchesExcelsior8 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 2 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.75 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.38 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 11.9 shots/match
4.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/84.38 shots/match
36.5%Possession8/8● 41.8%
2.5 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4.13 corners/match
9.13 fouls/matchFouls8/811.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fortuna Sittard
1Draws
2Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard — Excelsior · Eredivisie2–1
Excelsior — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie1–0
Fortuna Sittard — Excelsior · Eredivisie5–2
Excelsior — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie2–2
Excelsior — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 11:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortuna SittardExcelsior
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headFortuna Sittard — Excelsior
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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