PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

Excelsior vs FC Twente · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.142.14
Expected goals
1.322.19
Shots
11.321.4
Possession
40.7%58%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 1 to Excelsior, 2 drawn, 2 to FC Twente. From this fixture's own record: excelsior's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Excelsior show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Excelsior's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsExcelsior · FC Twente21.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricExcelsiorFC TwenteBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match21.4 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against16.1 shots/match10 shots/match16.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Twente have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.7%PossessionExcelsior · FC Twente● 58%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricExcelsiorFC TwenteBaseline
Possession40.7%58%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Excelsior favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · FC Twente in 10 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Excelsior7 matchesFC Twente7 matches
2.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/72.14 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1 goal/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 2.19 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 21.4 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 7.57 shots/match
40.7%Possession7/7● 58%
4.29 corners/matchCorners7/7● 7.43 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls7/710 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Excelsior
2Draws
2FC Twente
FC Twente — Excelsior · Eredivisie0–0
Excelsior — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–0
Excelsior — FC Twente · Eredivisie0–3
FC Twente — Excelsior · Eredivisie4–2
Excelsior — FC Twente · Eredivisie0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness43 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 13:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsExcelsiorFC Twente
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headExcelsior — FC Twente
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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