Eredivisie · 2026

SC Telstar vs FC Utrecht · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.711.57
Expected goals
1.081.4
Shots
8.1410.9
Possession
40.9%43.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: SC Telstar's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: SC Telstar's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

SC Telstar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Telstar's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.79 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SC Telstar have a visible home split

weak

SC Telstar's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season8.14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match8.14 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

SC Telstar show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SC Telstar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.14 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Telstar · FC Utrecht10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC TelstarFC UtrechtBaseline
Shots8.14 shots/match10.9 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against17.9 shots/match18.6 shots/match16.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Telstar favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · FC Utrecht in 6 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Telstar7 matchesFC Utrecht7 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/73.43 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.4 xG/match
8.14 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 10.9 shots/match
2.14 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4 shots/match
40.9%Possession7/7● 43.7%
4.14 corners/match ●Corners7/73.29 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls7/717.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0SC Telstar
1Draws
1FC Utrecht
FC Utrecht — SC Telstar · Eredivisie4–1
SC Telstar — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 13:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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