League One · 2026

Burton Albion vs Bradford City · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.711
Expected goals
0.91.03
Shots
9.5710.4
Possession
44.3%49.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: burton Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Bradford City have a visible away split

weak

Bradford City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.75 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Burton Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Burton Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.57 shots/match ▲ShotsBurton Albion · Bradford City10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBurton AlbionBradford CityBaseline
Shots9.57 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match10.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bradford City's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bradford City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Burton Albion favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Bradford City in 9 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Burton Albion7 matchesBradford City7 matches
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71 goal/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.57 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.03 xG/match
9.57 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 10.4 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 3.86 shots/match
44.3%Possession7/7● 49.4%
3 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6.43 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls7/714.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Burton Albion
0Draws
0Bradford City
Burton Albion — Bradford City · League One2–1
Bradford City — Burton Albion · League One1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness31 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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