PitchMath
League One · 2026

Stevenage vs Plymouth Argyle · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.572
Expected goals
1.031.46
Shots
10.614.6
Possession
43.9%40.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: plymouth Argyle's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Plymouth Argyle's recent record differs from the season

weak

Plymouth Argyle's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match2 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stevenage show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Stevenage's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsStevenage · Plymouth Argyle14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStevenagePlymouth ArgyleBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match12.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stevenage favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Plymouth Argyle in 7 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stevenage7 matchesPlymouth Argyle7 matches
1.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.43 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.46 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5.14 shots/match
43.9% ●Possession7/740.7%
4.14 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls7/712.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Stevenage
1Draws
1Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle — Stevenage · League One1–0
Stevenage — Plymouth Argyle · League One1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness31 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStevenagePlymouth Argyle
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headStevenage — Plymouth Argyle
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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