PitchMath
League One · 2026

Stevenage vs Plymouth Argyle · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.51.8
Expected goals
1.161.61
Shots
11.115
Possession
43.4%42.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: plymouth Argyle's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Plymouth Argyle's recent record differs from the season

weak

Plymouth Argyle's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.8 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stevenage show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Stevenage's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsStevenage · Plymouth Argyle15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStevenagePlymouth ArgyleBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match15 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stevenage favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Plymouth Argyle in 7 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stevenage8 matchesPlymouth Argyle10 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/10▲ 1.8 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed8/101.2 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals8/9▲ 1.61 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots8/9▲ 15 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target8/9▲ 5.11 shots/match
43.4% ●Possession8/942.8%
3.88 corners/matchCorners8/9● 5.67 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls8/912.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Stevenage
1Draws
1Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle — Stevenage · League One1–0
Stevenage — Plymouth Argyle · League One1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness10 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStevenagePlymouth Argyle
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headStevenage — Plymouth Argyle
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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