League One · 2026

Bradford City vs Stevenage · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.83
Expected goals
1.150.94
Shots
11.39.67
Possession
51.7%42.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: stevenage's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: bradford City have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Bradford City have a visible home split

weak

Bradford City's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Stevenage show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Stevenage's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsBradford City · Stevenage9.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBradford CityStevenageBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match9.67 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against9.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bradford City's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bradford City's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bradford City favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Stevenage in 1 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bradford City6 matchesStevenage6 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.17 goals/match
1.15 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/60.94 xG/match
11.3 shots/match ▲Shots6/69.67 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target6/63.83 shots/match
51.7% ●Possession6/642.3%
7 corners/match ●Corners6/63.83 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls6/613.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bradford City
1Draws
1Stevenage
Bradford City — Stevenage · League One0–1
Stevenage — Bradford City · League One1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness37 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

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