PitchMath
League One · 2026

Wycombe Wanderers vs Notts County · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.631
Expected goals
1.31.22
Shots
11.312.3
Possession
48.7%45.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: wycombe Wanderers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Wycombe Wanderers's recent record differs from the season

weak

Wycombe Wanderers's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Notts County have a visible away split

weak

Notts County's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wycombe Wanderers favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Notts County in 6 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wycombe Wanderers8 matchesNotts County7 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/71 goal/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed8/7▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.22 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 12.3 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.29 shots/match
48.7% ●Possession7/745.1%
5.57 corners/match ●Corners7/74.43 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls7/713.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWycombe WanderersNotts County
CompetitionLeague One
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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