League One · 2026

Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.860.75
Expected goals
1.950.87
Shots
14.911
Possession
54.3%46.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: AFC Wimbledon's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: AFC Wimbledon's away-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

AFC Wimbledon's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AFC Wimbledon's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.75 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AFC Wimbledon have a visible away split

weak

AFC Wimbledon's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match11 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sheffield Wednesday favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · AFC Wimbledon in 2 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sheffield Wednesday7 matchesAFC Wimbledon8 matches
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/80.75 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/81 goal/match
1.95 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.87 xG/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots7/711 shots/match
5.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/72.57 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession7/746.6%
6.71 corners/match ●Corners7/75.57 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls7/712.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sheffield Wednesday
1Draws
0AFC Wimbledon
Sheffield Wednesday — AFC Wimbledon · League One2–1
AFC Wimbledon — Sheffield Wednesday · League One2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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