AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town — Stats & Match Analysis

League One · 2026Tue, 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC

AFC Wimbledon

WLWWD

vsPre-match analysis

Mansfield Town

WLLDD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 0.711.43
Expected goals: 0.871.16
Shots: 1112.7
Possession: 46.6%45.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: AFC Wimbledon's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: mansfield Town's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

AFC Wimbledon's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AFC Wimbledon's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goal/match	0.71 goals/match	1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Mansfield Town have a visible away split

weak

Mansfield Town's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.3 shots/match	12.7 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AFC Wimbledon favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Mansfield Town in 7 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AFC Wimbledon7 matchesMansfield Town7 matches

0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.43 goals/match

1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.86 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.16 xG/match

11 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 12.7 shots/match

2.57 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 3.86 shots/match

46.6% ●Possession7/745.9%

5.57 corners/match ●Corners7/73.71 corners/match

12.6 fouls/matchFouls7/714 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0AFC Wimbledon

2Draws

0Mansfield Town

28 Feb 2026Mansfield Town — AFC Wimbledon · League One2–2

13 Dec 2025AFC Wimbledon — Mansfield Town · League One0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness33 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season

What the record shows