PitchMath
League One · 2026

Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.170.71
Expected goals
1.311.72
Shots
11.214.7
Possession
58%53.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: wigan Athletic's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: wigan Athletic's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Wigan Athletic show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Wigan Athletic's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsOxford United · Wigan Athletic14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOxford UnitedWigan AthleticBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match14.7 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against16.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Wigan Athletic's recent record differs from the season

weak

Wigan Athletic's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Oxford United favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Wigan Athletic in 6 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Oxford United6 matchesWigan Athletic7 matches
2.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/70.71 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/71.71 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals6/7▲ 1.72 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots6/7▲ 14.7 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/73.14 shots/match
58% ●Possession6/753.9%
4.33 corners/matchCorners6/7● 5.71 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls6/710.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Oxford United
1Draws
2Wigan Athletic
Oxford United — Wigan Athletic · League One4–2
Wigan Athletic — Oxford United · League One2–0
Wigan Athletic — Oxford United · League One1–1
Oxford United — Wigan Athletic · League One2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness31 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOxford UnitedWigan Athletic
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headOxford United — Wigan Athletic
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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