Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday — Stats & Match Analysis

League One · 2026Tue, 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC

Notts County

WDDLL

vsPre-match analysis

Sheffield Wednesday

WWWDD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 11.86
Expected goals: 1.221.95
Shots: 12.314.9
Possession: 45.1%54.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: sheffield Wednesday have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: notts County's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Notts County have a visible home split

weak

Notts County's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	15 shots/match	12.3 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Notts County's recent record differs from the season

weak

Notts County's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1 goal/match	1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sheffield Wednesday have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.1%PossessionNotts County · Sheffield Wednesday● 54.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.1 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Notts County	Sheffield Wednesday	Baseline
Possession	45.1%	54.3%	49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Notts County favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Sheffield Wednesday in 9

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Notts County7 matchesSheffield Wednesday7 matches

1 goal/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.86 goals/match

1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.86 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.95 xG/match

12.3 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 14.9 shots/match

3.29 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5.71 shots/match

45.1%Possession7/7● 54.3%

4.43 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6.71 corners/match

13.7 fouls/matchFouls7/712.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness31 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 20 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season