League One · 2026

Peterborough United vs Burton Albion · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.671.67
Expected goals
1.440.91
Shots
13.79.5
Possession
58.8%43.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: peterborough United have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: peterborough United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Peterborough United's recent record differs from the season

weak

Peterborough United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Burton Albion have a visible away split

weak

Burton Albion's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match9.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Peterborough United have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.8% ●PossessionPeterborough United · Burton Albion43.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPeterborough UnitedBurton AlbionBaseline
Possession58.8%43.2%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Peterborough United favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Burton Albion in 6 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Peterborough United6 matchesBurton Albion6 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/60.91 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots6/69.5 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target6/63.17 shots/match
58.8% ●Possession6/643.2%
5 corners/match ●Corners6/62.83 corners/match
9 fouls/matchFouls6/615 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Peterborough United
2Draws
1Burton Albion
Peterborough United — Burton Albion · League One1–1
Burton Albion — Peterborough United · League One0–1
Burton Albion — Peterborough United · League One2–2
Peterborough United — Burton Albion · League One0–1
Burton Albion — Peterborough United · League One1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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