Premier League · 2026

Everton vs Chelsea · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Chelsea

WWLDL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.252
Expected goals
1.271.36
Shots
14.814.4
Possession
41.5%47.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.25 corners/matchCornersEverton · Chelsea● 6.6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricEvertonChelseaBaseline
Corners5.25 corners/match6.6 corners/match4.5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Everton favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Chelsea in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Everton4 matchesChelsea5 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/5▲ 2 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/52.4 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals4/5▲ 1.36 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots4/514.4 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target4/55.2 shots/match
41.5%Possession4/5● 47.4%
5.25 corners/matchCorners4/5● 6.6 corners/match
8.5 fouls/matchFouls4/58.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Everton
1Draws
3Chelsea
Everton — Chelsea · Premier League3–0
Chelsea — Everton · Premier League2–0
Chelsea — Everton · Premier League1–0
Everton — Chelsea · Premier League0–0
Chelsea — Everton · Premier League6–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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