Everton vs Chelsea — Stats & Match Analysis

Premier League · 2026Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC

Everton

WDDDW

vsPre-match analysis

Chelsea

WWLDL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.22
Expected goals: 1.471.36
Shots: 1614.4
Possession: 43.6%47.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5 corners/matchCornersEverton · Chelsea● 6.6 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Everton	Chelsea	Baseline
Corners	5 corners/match	6.6 corners/match	4.4 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Everton favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Chelsea in 2 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Everton5 matchesChelsea5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2 goals/match

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match

1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.36 xG/match

16 shots/match ▲Shots5/514.4 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 5.2 shots/match

43.6%Possession5/5● 47.4%

5 corners/matchCorners5/5● 6.6 corners/match

7.8 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Everton

1Draws

3Chelsea

21 Mar 2026Everton — Chelsea · Premier League3–0

13 Dec 2025Chelsea — Everton · Premier League2–0

26 Apr 2025Chelsea — Everton · Premier League1–0

22 Dec 2024Everton — Chelsea · Premier League0–0

15 Apr 2024Chelsea — Everton · Premier League6–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season