PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Chelsea vs Bournemouth · Premier League

Chelsea

WWLDL
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
21.2
Expected goals
1.361.44
Shots
14.413.6
Possession
47.4%47.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 2 to Chelsea, 3 drawn, 0 to Bournemouth. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chelsea favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 6 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chelsea5 matchesBournemouth5 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.44 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots5/513.6 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/55.2 shots/match
47.4%Possession5/5● 47.8%
6.6 corners/match ●Corners5/54.2 corners/match
8.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Chelsea
3Draws
0Bournemouth
Chelsea — Bournemouth · Premier League2–2
Bournemouth — Chelsea · Premier League0–0
Chelsea — Bournemouth · Premier League2–2
Bournemouth — Chelsea · Premier League0–1
Chelsea — Bournemouth · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness22 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChelseaBournemouth
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headChelsea — Bournemouth
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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