PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth · Premier League

Chelsea

WWLDL
5–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Chelsea won 5–1.

Shots
109
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.081.46
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chelsea beat Bournemouth 5–1. Recorded in this match (Chelsea – Bournemouth): shots 10–9, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.08–1.46, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bournemouth have a visible away split

weak

Bournemouth's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsChelsea 10 shots, Bournemouth 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsChelsea 6 shots, Bournemouth 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.08 xG1.46 xGChelsea 1.08 xG, Bournemouth 1.46 xG
  • Possession50%50%Chelsea 50%, Bournemouth 50%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersChelsea 1 corner, Bournemouth 7 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls15 foulsChelsea 7 fouls, Bournemouth 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards4 cardsChelsea 0 cards, Bournemouth 4 cards
  • Passes476 passes459 passesChelsea 476 passes, Bournemouth 459 passes
  • Pass accuracy84%84.1%Chelsea 84%, Bournemouth 84.1%
  • Shots inside box7 shots6 shotsChelsea 7 shots, Bournemouth 6 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks2 blocksChelsea 2 blocks, Bournemouth 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves1 saveChelsea 3 saves, Bournemouth 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesChelsea 1 offside, Bournemouth 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 2′Jordan HendersonGoal · Chelsea
  2. 3′Morgan RogersGoal · Chelsea
  3. 10′Marcus TavernierYellow card · Bournemouth
  4. 42′Adrien TruffertYellow card · Bournemouth
  5. Half-time
  6. 46′João PedroGoal · Chelsea
  7. 51′EvanilsonGoal · Bournemouth
  8. 62′Tyler AdamsYellow card · Bournemouth
  9. 67′João PedroGoal · Chelsea
  10. 69′Ryan ChristieYellow card · Bournemouth
  11. 70′Jordan HendersonGoal · Chelsea
  12. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Bournemouth · 1 player changeBen Gannon-Doak
  • 72′Chelsea · 2 player changesMarco Palestra · Roméo Lavia
  • 72′Bournemouth · 1 player changeJuanlu Sánchez
  • 73′Bournemouth · 2 player changesLewis Cook · Álvaro Rodriguez
  • 83′Chelsea · 1 player changeDanny Welbeck
  • 84′Bournemouth · 1 player changeJulio Soler
  • 84′Chelsea · 1 player changeEstêvão
  • 88′Chelsea · 1 player changeMalo Gusto

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Chelsea3-4-2-1
  1. Emiliano MartínezG
  2. Marco PalestraD
  3. Wesley FofanaD
  4. Maxence LacroixD
  5. Levi ColwillD
  6. Pedro NetoD
  7. Moisés CaicedoM
  8. Roméo LaviaM
  9. Cole PalmerF
  10. Morgan RogersF
  11. João PedroF
Bournemouth4-2-3-1
  1. Đorđe PetrovićG
  2. Adrien TruffertD
  3. James HillD
  4. António SilvaD
  5. Adam SmithD
  6. Lewis CookM
  7. Ryan ChristieM
  8. Tyler AdamsM
  9. EvanilsonF
  10. Marcus TavernierF
  11. RayanF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Chelsea
3Draws
0Bournemouth
Chelsea — Bournemouth · Premier League2–2
Bournemouth — Chelsea · Premier League0–0
Chelsea — Bournemouth · Premier League2–2
Bournemouth — Chelsea · Premier League0–1
Chelsea — Bournemouth · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chelsea favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chelsea6 matchesBournemouth6 matches
2.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/62.17 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.45 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots6/612.8 shots/match
5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/65 shots/match
47.8%Possession6/6● 48.2%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners6/64.67 corners/match
8.33 fouls/matchFouls6/612.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChelseaBournemouth
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headChelsea — Bournemouth
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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