Ipswich Town 2–1 Fulham · Premier League
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Ipswich Town won 2–1.
- Shots
- 11–13
- Shots on target
- 5–5
- Expected goals
- 1.15–1.81
- Possession
- 48%–52%
Full time
What the match recorded
Ipswich Town beat Fulham 2–1. Recorded in this match (Ipswich Town – Fulham): shots 11–13, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.15–1.81, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Fulham have a visible away split
weakFulham's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 11.3 shots/match | 14.2 shots/match | 13.6 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Fulham's recent record differs from the season
weakFulham's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.8 goals/match | 1 goal/match | 1.27 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateFulham have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.5 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Ipswich Town | Fulham | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 45.3% | 53.8% | 47.6% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
As it happened
Key moments
- 19′Leif DavisYellow card · Ipswich Town
- 44′Josh KingYellow card · Fulham
- Half-time
- 51′Calvin BasseyYellow card · Fulham
- 55′Ryan SessegnonGoal · Fulham
- 84′Manuel Ángel MoránYellow card · Fulham
- 88′Abdoul OuattaraGoal · Ipswich Town
- 90′Dara O'SheaGoal · Ipswich Town
- 90′Emile Smith RoweYellow card · Fulham
- 90′Christian WaltonYellow card · Ipswich Town
- Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
- 63′Ipswich Town · 2 player changesJack Clarke · Exequiel Palacios
- 71′Ipswich Town · 1 player changeChuba Akpom
- 71′Fulham · 1 player changeManuel Ángel Morán
- 71′Ipswich Town · 1 player changeZian Flemming
- 76′Fulham · 2 player changesRodrigo Muniz · Kevin
- 81′Ipswich Town · 1 player changeSindre Walle Egeli
- 87′Fulham · 2 player changesEmile Smith Rowe · Hugo Larsson
Who started
Lineups
Show both lineups
Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.
- Christian WaltonG
- Leif DavisD
- Issa DiopD
- Dara O'SheaD
- Abdoul OuattaraD
- Julio EncisoM
- Saša LukićM
- Exequiel PalaciosM
- EmersonnF
- Daizen MaedaF
- Jack ClarkeF
- Bernd LenoG
- Calvin BasseyD
- Timothy CastagneD
- David AffengruberD
- Ryan SessegnonD
- Sander BergeM
- Shea CharlesM
- Josh KingM
- Gonzalo GarcíaF
- Oscar BobbF
- Alex IwobiF
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Ipswich Town favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Fulham in 9 · 3 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
Ipswich Town / Fulham
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Team rankings in Premier League
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