PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Fulham vs Hull City · Premier League

Fulham

LLLD
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.25
Expected goals
1.550.99
Shots
159.75
Possession
57%29.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: fulham have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Fulham have recorded the higher season possession share.

57% ●PossessionFulham · Hull City29.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 27.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFulhamHull CityBaseline
Possession57%29.5%47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Hull City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Hull City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsFulham · Hull City9.75 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFulhamHull CityBaseline
Shots15 shots/match9.75 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fulham favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Hull City in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fulham4 matchesHull City4 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 0.5 goals/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.99 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots4/49.75 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/43.75 shots/match
57% ●Possession4/429.5%
6.25 corners/match ●Corners4/42.5 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls4/410 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fulham
0Draws
0Hull City
Hull City — Fulham · Championship0–1
Fulham — Hull City · Championship2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFulhamHull City
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headFulham — Hull City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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