PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Manchester City vs Ipswich Town · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
21.75
Expected goals
1.651.54
Shots
1311.3
Possession
65.3%44%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

65.3% ●PossessionManchester City · Ipswich Town44%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityIpswich TownBaseline
Possession65.3%44%47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Ipswich Town show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Ipswich Town's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester City · Ipswich Town11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityIpswich TownBaseline
Shots13 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match16.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Ipswich Town in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester City4 matchesIpswich Town4 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41.75 goals/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/42.5 goals/match
1.65 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.54 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots4/411.3 shots/match
5.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44.75 shots/match
65.3% ●Possession4/444%
6.25 corners/match ●Corners4/43.5 corners/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Manchester City
0Draws
0Ipswich Town
Ipswich Town — Manchester City · Premier League0–6
Manchester City — Ipswich Town · Premier League4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester CityIpswich Town
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headManchester City — Ipswich Town
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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