PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.50.83
Expected goals
1.431.61
Shots
11.517.7
Possession
45.3%48.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: nottingham Forest's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: nottingham Forest's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Nottingham Forest show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Nottingham Forest's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsIpswich Town · Nottingham Forest17.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIpswich TownNottingham ForestBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match17.7 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against16.5 shots/match11 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Nottingham Forest's recent record differs from the season

weak

Nottingham Forest's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.83 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ipswich Town favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Nottingham Forest in 9 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ipswich Town6 matchesNottingham Forest6 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.61 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 17.7 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.83 shots/match
45.3%Possession6/6● 48.8%
3.33 corners/matchCorners6/6● 4.17 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls6/614 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ipswich Town
0Draws
2Nottingham Forest
Ipswich Town — Nottingham Forest · Premier League2–4
Nottingham Forest — Ipswich Town · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness13 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIpswich TownNottingham Forest
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headIpswich Town — Nottingham Forest
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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