Aston Villa
Premier League · 2026Aston Villa vs Manchester City · Premier League
Season
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
- Goals scored
- 1–2.67
- Expected goals
- 1.02–1.87
- Shots
- 11.3–13.6
- Possession
- 46.7%–63.2%
30-second read
What the record shows
One pattern stands out in the record: manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: aston Villa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Aston Villa's recent record differs from the season
weakAston Villa's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.2 goals/match | 1 goal/match | 1.33 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateManchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.5 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Aston Villa | Manchester City | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 46.7% | 63.2% | 48.4% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
Aston Villa show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakAston Villa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Aston Villa | Manchester City | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 11.3 shots/match | 13.6 shots/match | 13.4 shots/match |
| Shots against | 15.8 shots/match | 11.8 shots/match | 13.8 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Aston Villa favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Manchester City in 12 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
Aston Villa / Manchester City
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
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