PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Arsenal vs Everton · Premier League

Arsenal

WWWWL
vsPre-match analysis

Everton

WDDDW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.61.2
Expected goals
1.71.47
Shots
1316
Possession
59.6%43.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 3 to Arsenal, 2 drawn, 0 to Everton. From this fixture's own record: arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.6% ●PossessionArsenal · Everton43.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricArsenalEvertonBaseline
Possession59.6%43.6%47.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5 corners/matchCornersArsenal · Everton5 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricArsenalEvertonBaseline
Corners5 corners/match5 corners/match4.4 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Arsenal favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Everton in 3 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Arsenal5 matchesEverton5 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.6 goals/match
1.7 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.47 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 16 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
59.6% ●Possession5/543.6%
5 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls5/57.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Arsenal
2Draws
0Everton
Arsenal — Everton · Premier League2–0
Everton — Arsenal · Premier League0–1
Everton — Arsenal · Premier League1–1
Arsenal — Everton · Premier League0–0
Arsenal — Everton · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsArsenalEverton
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headArsenal — Everton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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