Premier League · 2026

Arsenal vs Everton · Premier League

Arsenal

WWWLW
vsPre-match analysis

Everton

DDDWD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.671.33
Expected goals
1.851.51
Shots
1315.8
Possession
59.3%47.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 3 to Arsenal, 2 drawn, 0 to Everton. From this fixture's own record: arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Arsenal have a visible home split

weak

Arsenal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match13 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Arsenal's recent record differs from the season

weak

Arsenal's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.3% ●PossessionArsenal · Everton47.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricArsenalEvertonBaseline
Possession59.3%47.2%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Arsenal favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Everton in 2 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Arsenal6 matchesEverton6 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.33 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/60.83 goals/match
1.85 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.51 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 15.8 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target6/65 shots/match
59.3% ●Possession6/647.2%
4.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5.17 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls6/67.17 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Arsenal
2Draws
0Everton
Arsenal — Everton · Premier League2–0
Everton — Arsenal · Premier League0–1
Everton — Arsenal · Premier League1–1
Arsenal — Everton · Premier League0–0
Arsenal — Everton · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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