PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League

Chelsea

WWLDL
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
20.4
Expected goals
1.361.01
Shots
14.414.4
Possession
47.4%60.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 5 to Chelsea, 0 drawn, 0 to Tottenham Hotspur. From this fixture's own record: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.6 corners/matchCornersChelsea · Tottenham Hotspur● 7.6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricChelseaTottenham HotspurBaseline
Corners6.6 corners/match7.6 corners/match4.4 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.4%PossessionChelsea · Tottenham Hotspur● 60.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricChelseaTottenham HotspurBaseline
Possession47.4%60.6%47.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chelsea favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 6 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chelsea5 matchesTottenham Hotspur5 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.01 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots5/514.4 shots/match
5.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
47.4%Possession5/5● 60.6%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/5● 7.6 corners/match
8.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Chelsea
0Draws
0Tottenham Hotspur
Chelsea — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–1
Tottenham Hotspur — Chelsea · Premier League0–1
Chelsea — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–0
Tottenham Hotspur — Chelsea · Premier League3–4
Chelsea — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsChelseaTottenham Hotspur
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headChelsea — Tottenham Hotspur
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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