Chelsea
Premier League · 2026Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League
Season
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
- Goals scored
- 2.5–0.5
- Expected goals
- 1.31–1.01
- Shots
- 13.7–14.4
- Possession
- 47.8%–60.6%
30-second read
What the record shows
The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 5 to Chelsea, 0 drawn, 0 to Tottenham Hotspur. From this fixture's own record: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.
Both teams have elevated corners records
moderateEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Chelsea | Tottenham Hotspur | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 5.67 corners/match | 7.6 corners/match | 4.42 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
Tottenham Hotspur's recent record differs from the season
weakTottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.6 goals/match | 0.5 goals/match | 1.33 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateTottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.8 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Chelsea | Tottenham Hotspur | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 47.8% | 60.6% | 48.4% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Chelsea favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 7 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Chelsea / Tottenham Hotspur
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
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