Nottingham Forest
Premier League · 2026Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal · Premier League
Season
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
- Goals scored
- 0.8–1.6
- Expected goals
- 1.33–1.7
- Shots
- 16.4–13
- Possession
- 47.2%–59.6%
30-second read
What the record shows
One pattern stands out in the record: arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: arsenal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
Arsenal have a visible away split
weakArsenal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 9.67 shots/match | 13 shots/match | 13.6 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Arsenal show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakArsenal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Nottingham Forest | Arsenal | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 16.4 shots/match | 13 shots/match | 13.6 shots/match |
| Shots against | 10.6 shots/match | 10.6 shots/match | 13.8 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateArsenal have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Nottingham Forest | Arsenal | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 47.2% | 59.6% | 47.6% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Nottingham Forest favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Arsenal in 10 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
Nottingham Forest / Arsenal
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
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