Premier League · 2026

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
3.251.5
Expected goals
2.431.3
Shots
19.510.3
Possession
70.8%42%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Brighton & Hove Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Brighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.5 shots/match ▲ShotsBrighton & Hove Albion · Crystal Palace10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionCrystal PalaceBaseline
Shots19.5 shots/match10.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match17.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

70.8% ●PossessionBrighton & Hove Albion · Crystal Palace42%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 28.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionCrystal PalaceBaseline
Possession70.8%42%47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion4 matchesCrystal Palace4 matches
3.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/42.75 goals/match
2.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.3 xG/match
19.5 shots/match ▲Shots4/410.3 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/43.5 shots/match
70.8% ●Possession4/442%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners4/42.25 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls4/49 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Brighton & Hove Albion
1Draws
3Crystal Palace
Brighton & Hove Albion — Crystal Palace · Premier League0–1
Crystal Palace — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League0–0
Crystal Palace — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–3
Brighton & Hove Albion — Crystal Palace · Premier League4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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