PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Bournemouth vs Sunderland · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.21.2
Expected goals
1.442.07
Shots
13.613.2
Possession
47.8%48.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: sunderland's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Sunderland show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sunderland's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsBournemouth · Sunderland13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBournemouthSunderlandBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match12 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bournemouth favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Sunderland in 4 · 6 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bournemouth5 matchesSunderland5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 2.07 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots5/513.2 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match
47.8%Possession5/5● 48.6%
4.2 corners/match ●Corners5/54 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bournemouth
1Draws
1Sunderland
Bournemouth — Sunderland · Premier League1–1
Sunderland — Bournemouth · Premier League3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBournemouthSunderland
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headBournemouth — Sunderland
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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