PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Bournemouth vs Sunderland · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.50.75
Expected goals
1.611.52
Shots
14.812.3
Possession
48.3%49.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: sunderland's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Sunderland show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sunderland's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsBournemouth · Sunderland12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBournemouthSunderlandBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match11 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bournemouth favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Sunderland in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bournemouth4 matchesSunderland4 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/40.75 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.61 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.52 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/412.3 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44 shots/match
48.3%Possession4/4● 49.5%
4.5 corners/match ●Corners4/43.75 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls4/412.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bournemouth
1Draws
1Sunderland
Bournemouth — Sunderland · Premier League1–1
Sunderland — Bournemouth · Premier League3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBournemouthSunderland
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headBournemouth — Sunderland
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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