PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Brentford vs Liverpool · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
21.5
Expected goals
1.971.6
Shots
16.216
Possession
45.2%60.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.2 fouls/matchFoulsBrentford · Liverpool13 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBrentfordLiverpoolBaseline
Fouls14.2 fouls/match13 fouls/match11.3 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.2%PossessionBrentford · Liverpool● 60.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBrentfordLiverpoolBaseline
Possession45.2%60.5%47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brentford favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Liverpool in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brentford5 matchesLiverpool4 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/41.5 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/41 goal/match
1.97 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/41.6 xG/match
16.2 shots/matchShots5/416 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/4▲ 5.25 shots/match
45.2%Possession5/4● 60.5%
4.4 corners/match ●Corners5/44.25 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/413 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Brentford
1Draws
3Liverpool
Liverpool — Brentford · Premier League1–1
Brentford — Liverpool · Premier League3–2
Brentford — Liverpool · Premier League0–2
Liverpool — Brentford · Premier League2–0
Brentford — Liverpool · Premier League1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBrentfordLiverpool
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headBrentford — Liverpool
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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