PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Hull City 2–2 Everton · Premier League

2–2Full-time analysis

Everton

WDDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Hull City and Everton drew 2–2.

Shots
915
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
1.331.71
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hull City and Everton drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Hull City – Everton): shots 9–15, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 1.33–1.71, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hull City have a visible home split

weak

Hull City's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.33 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match11.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Everton have recorded the higher season possession share.

32.8%PossessionHull City · Everton● 47.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricHull CityEvertonBaseline
Possession32.8%47.2%48%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots15 shotsHull City 9 shots, Everton 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsHull City 5 shots, Everton 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.33 xG1.71 xGHull City 1.33 xG, Everton 1.71 xG
  • Possession35%65%Hull City 35%, Everton 65%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersHull City 7 corners, Everton 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls4 foulsHull City 15 fouls, Everton 4 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsHull City 2 cards, Everton 0 cards
  • Passes307 passes588 passesHull City 307 passes, Everton 588 passes
  • Pass accuracy72.6%86.9%Hull City 72.6%, Everton 86.9%
  • Shots inside box9 shots11 shotsHull City 9 shots, Everton 11 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksHull City 2 blocks, Everton 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves2 savesHull City 4 saves, Everton 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside4 offsidesHull City 1 offside, Everton 4 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 13′Matt CrooksYellow card · Hull City
  2. 21′Oli McBurnieYellow card · Hull City
  3. Half-time
  4. 48′Joe GelhardtGoal · Hull City
  5. 55′Kiernan Dewsbury-HallGoal · Everton
  6. 68′Thierno BarryGoal · Everton
  7. 74′Mohamed BelloumiGoal · Hull City
  8. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 64′Hull City · 1 player changeElliot Stroud
  • 65′Hull City · 2 player changesMohamed Belloumi · Tim Iroegbunam
  • 66′Everton · 1 player changeTyrique George
  • 75′Hull City · 1 player changeHidemasa Morita
  • 78′Everton · 2 player changesJake O'Brien · Hayden Hackney
  • 86′Everton · 1 player changeTyler Dibling
  • 86′Hull City · 1 player changeRobinio Vaz
  • 86′Everton · 1 player changeCarlos Alcaraz

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Hull City5-4-1
  1. Konstantinos TzolakisG
  2. Lewie CoyleD
  3. Ryan GilesD
  4. Semi AjayiD
  5. John EganD
  6. Nobel MendyD
  7. Matt CrooksM
  8. Regan SlaterM
  9. Sorba ThomasF
  10. Oli McBurnieF
  11. Mohamed BelloumiF
Everton4-2-3-1
  1. Jordan PickfordG
  2. Ainsley Maitland-NilesD
  3. Jarrad BranthwaiteD
  4. James TarkowskiD
  5. Vitaliy MykolenkoD
  6. Kiernan Dewsbury-HallM
  7. James GarnerM
  8. Harrison ArmstrongM
  9. Jack GrealishF
  10. Thierno BarryF
  11. Brennan JohnsonF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hull City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Everton in 10 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hull City6 matchesEverton6 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.33 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.51 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 15.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5 shots/match
32.8%Possession6/6● 47.2%
4 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5.17 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls6/67.17 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHull CityEverton
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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