PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.20.8
Expected goals
1.191.33
Shots
10.616.4
Possession
43.4%47.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: crystal Palace's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second reading clears the same sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Crystal Palace show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Crystal Palace's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsCrystal Palace · Nottingham Forest16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCrystal PalaceNottingham ForestBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match16.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against16.8 shots/match10.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Crystal Palace favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Nottingham Forest in 7 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Crystal Palace5 matchesNottingham Forest5 matches
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1 goal/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.33 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 16.4 shots/match
3.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
43.4%Possession5/5● 47.2%
2.4 corners/matchCorners5/5● 3.4 corners/match
9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Crystal Palace
4Draws
1Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–1
Crystal Palace — Nottingham Forest · Premier League1–1
Crystal Palace — Nottingham Forest · Premier League1–1
Nottingham Forest — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–0
Nottingham Forest — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness22 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCrystal PalaceNottingham Forest
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headCrystal Palace — Nottingham Forest
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required